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Apparently there were plans to combine the hazards analysis with new census data to produce a risk assessment. The latter never materialized. The report (Wadge & Isaacs 1987) discussed a range of eruption scenarios, provided maps that implied devastation on various scales up to and including most of southern Montserrat (as actually occurred), made reference to the likelihood of an eruption, and advocated local emergency planning. The study utilized three main classes of data: (1) the distribution of prehistoric pyroclastic flow (and other) deposits on Montserrat (Fig.
1). When the volcano erupted, the new hospital was not yet fully commissioned, the new library was still unfinished, and the new government buildings were yet to see a full Legislative Council meeting. All were lost to the volcano, as had been anticipated as a possibility in the hazards assessment. The Wadge and Isaacs report (1987) The study entitled Volcanic Hazards from Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat, West Indies was commissioned in 1986 under the umbrella of the Pan-Caribbean Disaster Prevention and Preparedness Program and funded by the UK Natural Environment Research Council.
L. (Plate 17; Norton et al. 2002). Subsequent minor collapses and pyroclastic flows were related mainly to gravitational stabilization of the slowly cooling and degassing dome. On 3 July a protracted collapse and pyroclastic flow down the Tar River valley to the sea was accompanied by an ash plume to 14 km altitude, with fallout of coarse ash and lapilli over Salem to the NW. The collapse involved roughly 22 x 106 m3 of lava and talus, removing about one-fifth of the dome, and was followed by an explosion that hurled ballistic blocks 1 km from the vent (Robertson et al.